WIDER Working Paper 2014/013 Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi: An uncertainty approach

Climate change and economic growth prospects for Malawi: An uncertainty approach

Climate change mitigation and ecosystem services: A stochastic analysis

Degradation of ecosystem services may be a major component of climate change damage, and incorporation of this factor could significantly alter the significance of uncertainty in climate-economy modeling. However, this aspect has been little investigated by economic analyses of climate change and uncertainty. We apply standardized numerical techniques of stochastic optimization to this research...

WIDER Working Paper No. 2013/042 Climate uncertainty and economic development: Evaluating the case of Mozambique to 2050

We apply a probabilistic approach to the evaluation of climate change impacts in the Zambeze River Valley. The economic modeling relies on an economywide modeling approach. Taking a distribution of shocks as inputs, we create hybrid frequency distributions of the potential economic impacts of climate change for Mozambique. The approach identifies an explicit range of potential outcomes and asso...

Uncertainty, Technical Change, and Policy Models

Both climate change and technical change are uncertain. In this paper we show the importance of including both uncertainties when modeling for policy analysis. We then develop an approach for incorporating uncertainty of technical change into climate change policy analysis. We define and demonstrate a protocol for bottom-up expert assessments about prospects for technologies. We then describe a...

The Effect of Climate Change on Economic Growth (Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model Approach in Iran)

Climate change is one of the most important issues affecting different economic sectors. Although this phenomenon has had a larger effect on the agricultural sector due to the heavy dependence of agriculture on weather conditions as compared to the other economic sectors, other economic sectors such as the industry, mining and service sectors are also influenced by weather changes due to their ...